Question bank / Inference from sample statistics and margin of error

Math · Problem-Solving and Data AnalysisMedium

A park has 900900 trees. A biologist examined a random sample of 6060 of the trees and found that 15%15\% had a certain leaf disease. The margin of error for this estimate is 99 percentage points. Is it plausible that more than 20%20\% of the trees in the park have the disease?

A

No, because the sample proportion is 15%15\%, which is less than 20%20\%.

B

Yes, because the plausible values for the population proportion range from 6%6\% to 24%24\%, which includes values greater than 20%20\%.

C

No, because 20%20\% is greater than the margin of error of 9%9\%.

D

Yes, because 99 of the 6060 trees in the sample had the disease.

Show answer and explanation

Answer: B

The margin of error gives an interval of plausible values for the population proportion: 15%±9%15\% \pm 9\%, or 6%6\% to 24%24\%. Values between 20%20\% and 24%24\% are in this interval, so it is plausible that more than 20%20\% of the park's trees have the disease.

Choice A treats the sample proportion as the exact population proportion, ignoring the margin of error.

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