Question bank / Inference from sample statistics and margin of error

Math · Problem-Solving and Data AnalysisMedium

A random sample of 1,0001{,}000 adults in a country found that 41%41\% exercise daily. The margin of error for this estimate is 33 percentage points. A news report claims that fewer than half of the adults in the country exercise daily. Is the claim supported by the survey?

A

Yes, because all plausible values for the population percentage, 38%38\% to 44%44\%, are less than 50%50\%.

B

No, because the sample included only 1,0001{,}000 adults.

C

No, because 41%41\% is within 1010 percentage points of 50%50\%.

D

Yes, because exactly 41%41\% of the adults in the country exercise daily.

Show answer and explanation

Answer: A

The margin of error gives a plausible range of 41%±3%41\% \pm 3\%, or 38%38\% to 44%44\%, for all adults in the country. Every value in that range is below 50%50\%, so the survey supports the claim that fewer than half exercise daily.

Choice D reaches the right answer for the wrong reason; the population percentage is not known to be exactly 41%41\%.

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