Question bank / Inference from sample statistics and margin of error

Math · Problem-Solving and Data AnalysisMedium

A consumer group tested random samples of two brands of batteries. For brand X, the mean battery life was 41.241.2 hours, with a margin of error of 1.51.5 hours. For brand Y, the mean battery life was 39.639.6 hours, with a margin of error of 1.81.8 hours. Which of the following is the most appropriate conclusion?

A

Brand X batteries have a greater mean life than brand Y batteries, because 41.241.2 is greater than 39.639.6.

B

Every brand X battery lasts longer than every brand Y battery.

C

Brand Y batteries have a greater mean life than brand X batteries, because brand Y has the larger margin of error.

D

The samples do not provide convincing evidence that one brand has a greater mean battery life than the other.

Show answer and explanation

Answer: D

Plausible values for brand X's mean are 41.2±1.541.2 \pm 1.5, or 39.739.7 to 42.742.7 hours. Plausible values for brand Y's mean are 39.6±1.839.6 \pm 1.8, or 37.837.8 to 41.441.4 hours. The two intervals overlap, and both include 4040 hours, so it's plausible that the two brands have the same mean battery life.

Choice A compares only the sample means and ignores the margins of error, which show the difference could be due to sampling variability.

Why the other choices are wrong

  • A. This ignores the margins of error. The intervals 39.7 to 42.7 and 37.8 to 41.4 overlap.
  • B. The study describes mean battery life, not every individual battery.
  • C. A larger margin of error means less precision. It says nothing about which mean is greater.
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