Question bank / Probability and conditional probability

Math · Problem-Solving and Data AnalysisHard
Tested positive Tested negative Total
Has condition 45 5 50
Does not have condition 95 855 950
Total 140 860 1,000

The table shows the results of a screening test given to 1,0001{,}000 people, some of whom had a certain condition. If a person who tested positive is selected at random, what is the probability that the person has the condition?

A

910\frac{9}{10}

B

9200\frac{9}{200}

C

928\frac{9}{28}

D

750\frac{7}{50}

Show answer and explanation

Answer: C

The condition "tested positive" restricts the group to the 45+95=14045 + 95 = 140 people with positive results. Of these, 4545 have the condition. The probability is 45140=928\frac{45}{140} = \frac{9}{28}.

Choice A is 4550\frac{45}{50}, the probability that a person with the condition tests positive, which reverses the condition.

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