Question bank / Evaluating statistical claims: observational studies and experiments
Researchers examined health records of randomly selected adults in a country. They found that adults who reported drinking green tea daily had a lower rate of heart disease than adults who did not. Which of the following conclusions is best supported by the study?
Drinking green tea daily causes a lower risk of heart disease for adults in the country.
Among adults in the country, drinking green tea daily is associated with a lower rate of heart disease, but it cannot be concluded that green tea causes the lower rate.
Drinking green tea daily causes a lower risk of heart disease, but only for the adults studied.
No conclusion can be drawn about adults in the country because the participants were not randomly selected.
Answer: B
Because the adults were randomly selected from the country, the association found in the sample can be generalized to adults in the country. However, this is an observational study: the researchers did not assign who drank green tea. Other factors, such as diet or exercise, could explain the difference, so causation cannot be concluded.
Choice A ignores that without random assignment to treatment groups, an observational study cannot establish cause and effect.
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